20-plus inches of snow on horizon as Colorado sits at record-low snowpack

It’s a new week in Colorado, but unfortunately, the new week doesn’t bring much of a change in the snow outlook – next week, however, the news will likely be a bit different. Colorado remains at record lows in terms of snowpack at just 56 percent of the norm for the date, with the separation between the norm and this season’s snowpack continuing to increase. Last Monday, there was a 0.4-inch gap between the then-current snow-water equivalent and the previous record low compared to a 0.7-inch difference this Monday.

The National Weather Service reports that parts of northern Colorado could get between one and three inches of snow through Thursday morning, though most of the state will remain snow-free. Meanwhile, OpenSnow’s 5-day outlook indicates that Loveland Ski Area will get the most snow over days to come – about three inches, with less-to-no snow elsewhere.

The snowfall forecast through February 5 at 5 a.m. Map: National Weather Service.

There is a promise of snow on the horizon, though, with February 10 expected to bring a shift in weather that could extend later into the month.

According to Pivotal Weather, another round of snow should arrive next Tuesday. By Friday morning, an accumulation of up to 22 inches of snow will be possible in southern Colorado, just north of Durango. Meanwhile, about 15 inches should land on peaks in the Aspen area with about eight to 12 inches of widespread snow expected across much of the state’s mountainous region. Colorado Springs could get about four inches during this storm, with Denver looking at about three inches with a little bit more in the foothills west of the city.

The ECMWF-AIFS snowfall forecast through 5 a.m. on February 13. Map: Pivotal Weather.

Extend that forecast out to the morning of February 17, and total accumulation between now and then could climb to about 27 inches on mountains north of Durango. Widespread totals in other mountainous regions climb to a foot or more, too.

The ECMWF-AIFS snowfall forecast through 5 a.m. on February 17. Map: Pivotal Weather.

Will all of that snow be enough to pull Colorado’s snowpack ahead of record lows? It’s once again a ‘wait and see’ scenario. About 2.6 inches of snow-water equivalent will be needed on top of what’s currently there to hit the statewide record low of seven inches by February 17. Either way, it’s looking like all signs point to fresh powder being on the way by the time mid-February starts to hit.

Find additional weather information on the National Weather Service website.

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