As a big shift in weather seemingly approaches Colorado’s Front Range, Pivotal Weather continues to show a big chance of snow around much of the state over upcoming days. Given that some shocking potential snowfall projections exist for the Mile High City, all eyes seem to be on Denver.

As far as timing related to Denver snowfall goes per Pivotal Weather, a first round of light snow should move through the city on March 6. A second wave of more significant snow is then projected to start on March 10, extending into the following day and then tapering off until March 13. This period could get a little wild, with some of the upper-end projections showing about eight inches of snow could hit Denver during this period, most of which would fall during those first two days (more on that can be seen in the mapping below). A third wave of snow could then hit between March 15 and March 16, bringing snow totals for the three waves to up to 14.5 inches of snow per some Pivotal Weather mapping. Don’t expect to look out the window to 14.5 inches of snow stacked on the ground though – warmer temperatures in between will likely take its toll on visible accumulation by the end of this period.

It’s crucial to note that Pivotal Weather releases new mapping every six hours, with each of these releases varying quite a bit, especially when long-term projections are involved. Over the past couple of days, some mapping has shown Denver gets only 5.5 inches during this period, while other mapping calls for around 10 inches and other mapping calls for around 14.

For example, the two snowfall projection maps featured below were produced six hours apart, with the mapping that shows heavier snowfall being more recent:

One big factor in how much snow Denver gets seems to be what temperatures will be present during this wintery blast. AccuWeather continues to call for highs above-freezing for Denver during this period, often in the 50s and 60s.

Perhaps a piece of the picture that seems to favor at least some decent snow in Denver is that the National Weather Service did include the Mile High City area on its ‘risk of heavy snow’ map for the period of March 7 through March 9. This doesn’t quite align with the timing of the Pivotal Weather forecast, but the NWS risk forecast map was also produced on February 27, and as is often the case with weather, the situation is continually evolving.

From a historical standpoint, big March snow in Denver isn’t too surprising. Not only is March the snowiest month of the year for the city on average, four of the 10 biggest single-day snowfalls to hit the Mile High City took place during this month.

Could Denver end up getting hit with big snow over upcoming days? Could the city get mostly missed? We’ll have to wait and see. Expect forecasting to get more consistent and accurate as the storm gets closer.

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