In order for Denver to experience a white Christmas, one inch or more of snow needs to be on the ground, which historically happens about one out of every three years or about 37% of the time.

In the last three decades, Denver has experienced measurable snowfall on seven of 30 Christmas Days, equating to a 23% chance.

During that same time period, one inch or more of snow has been on the ground 13 times over the last 30 years, equating to a 43% chance.

Will Christmas 2025 be the next white Christmas?

Highly unlikely seems to be the consensus.

Christmas is one week out and most weather models and local meteorologists, like Chris Bianchi with the Denver Gazette’s news partner 9News, are forecasting nearly zero chances of snow either being on the ground Christmas morning or falling from the sky on Christmas Day.

“We are underneath a ridge of high pressure, and there are some hints it breaks down just after Christmas, but it looks like (the breakdown) comes afterwards,” Bianchi said on a Monday afternoon social media post on his TikTok account.

“The odds for a white Christmas are SNOW WAY, it’s not going to happen this year.”

Wednesday morning weather model runs from the European Center for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts (ECMWF) and the Global Forecast System (GFS) concur Bianchi’s forecast and each forecast no snow in Denver ahead of Christmas Day and on Christmas Day.

ECMWF forecast:

 GFS forecast:

The last white Christmas was in 2022. Below are three snowy rankings from National Weather Service data from previous Christmases from Denver’s weather history.

Top 10 snowiest Christmases (1882-Present):

• 7.8 inches (2007)
• 6.4 inches (1894)
• 3.4 inches (2014)
• 2.3 inches (2015)
• 1.7 inches (1912)
• 1.5 inches (1941)
• 1.4 inches (1939)
• 1.2 inches (1964)
• 0.7 inches (2012)
• 0.6 inches (1916)

Top 10 snow depths on Christmas (1900-Present):

• 24 inches (1982)
• 19 inches (1913)
• 15 inches (2006)
• 12 inches (1973)
• 11 inches (1918)
• 6 inches (1941, 1924)
• 5 inches (1983, 1981, 1926)

Each year Denver experienced a white Christmas in the last 30 years:

• 2022 – 2 inches
• 2017 – 1 inch
• 2015 – 1 inch
• 2012 – 2 inches
• 2011 – 3 inches
• 2009 – 3 inches
• 2008 – 1 inch
• 2007 – 8 inches
• 2006 – 15 inches
• 2000 – 1 inch
• 1998 – 3 inches
• 1997 – 2 inches

The longest stretch Denver experienced without a white Christmas was from 1949-1961, which was 13 years where either no snow or only a trace was on the ground on Christmas Day, or no snow or only a trace fell on Christmas Day.

If Denver does not receive snow or have snow on the ground in Christmas Day, 2025 will be the third year in a row a white Christmas did not happen.