The Old Farmer’s Almanac and the NOAA seem to agree on spring forecast – and it’s not good

Some people turn to forecast mapping from services like the National Weather Service for their longer-term predictions, while others turn to products like the Old Farmer’s Almanac.

With the Old Farmer’s Almanac said to be a forecast based on three disciplines – solar science, climatology, and meteorology – the company uses what they describe as a “secret weather formula” that “stems from a formula devised by [the company’s] founder, Robert B. Thomas.” The approach has been used for more than 200 years, with the weather prediction service founded in 1792. Predictions by the company now rely on modern technology to study sunspots and other solar activity, prevailing weather patterns, and atmospheric conditions. While Old Farmer’s Almanac doesn’t claim to be totally accurate, the company does claim that the service correctly predicts weather trends about 80 percent of the time.

With that said, the Old Farmer’s Almanac predicts that spring 2026 will be warm and dry in much of Colorado – on par with conditions that have been present during the winter. There is a small exception to this prediction that pertains to the portion of Eastern Plains region that borders Kansas, with the service calling for a warm and wet spring in this area.

With March 20 being the first official day of spring in 2026, the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA) seasonal outlook mostly echos predictions made by the Old Farmer’s Almanac. Between March and May, warmer-than-normal temperatures are more probable in much of Colorado, with drier-than-normal temperatures expected in the southwest half of the state and equal chances for drier-than-normal or wetter-than-normal temperatures in the northeast half of the state. In other words, while some parts of the state may not be exceptionally hot or dry, it feels less likely that any part of the state will be exceptionally cold or wet.

Here’s a look at the seasonal outlook from the NOAA:

The seasonal temperature outlook for March through May. Map: NOAA
The seasonal preciptiation outlook for March through May. Map: NOAA

As of February 3, Colorado’s snowpack remains at record low levels – 56 percent of what’s typical for the date statewide. While there’s a good chance widespread double-digit snow totals could hit during the month of February, it’s looking like March, April, and May will end up being a snap back to the abnormally dry and warm conditions experienced already this snow season.

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